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2016 Revenue Estimating Conference

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2016 FTA Revenue Estimating Conference - Presentations

All presentations are in pdf format.

 [back to Conference Home Page]       [back to All Revenue Estimating Conference]

Monday, October 17, 2016
Monday Morning General Session  

 Presiding: Rod Hoheisel, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue and Chair FTA Research Section      

 
Welcome to New Jersey
 Ford M. Scudder, Treasurer of the State of New Jersey      

 
Macroeconomic Outlook
 Sara Johnson, IHS Economics
 [presentation]   

 
Regional Economic Outlook
 Steve Cochrane, Moodys Analytics
 [presentation]  

 
Tax Reform, A Business Perspective
 Deborah Bierbaum, AT&T
 [presentation]  

 
What Determines the Level of Business Property Taxes
 David Merriman, University of Illinois at Chicago
 [presentation]  
 
Lunch [with speaker]
 
Speaker: State Coincident & Leading Indexes
 Paul Flora, Senior Economic Analyst, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
 [presentation]    [Excel Spreadsheet]

  
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Concurrent Sessions


SECTORIAL OUTLOOK   
 moderator: Rod Hoheisel, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue      

Automobile Outlook
 Kim Hill, HWA Analytics
 [presentation]    

Housing Outlook
 Yanling Mayer, CoreLogic
 [presentation]    

Retail Outlook
 Daniel Bachman, Deloitte
 [presentation]    

 
Property Taxes and Intergovernmental Issues   
 moderator: Eric Willette, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue      

 
Cities and State Fiscal Structures
 Christiana K. McFarland, National League of Cities
 [presentation]    

Local Government Fiscal Autonomy in Minnesota
 Eric Willette, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue
 [presentation]    

California: Governor Jerry Brown and Subsidiarity
 Jay Chamberlain, California Dept. of Finance
 [presentation]    

 discussant: David Merriman, University of Illinois at Chicago      

 
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Joint FTA-NTA Session - State Tax Reform*
  
 moderator: Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Dept. of Treasury      

 

A Local Dimension to State Tax Reform
 Sally Wallace, Georgia State University
 [presentation]    

Examining State Tax Commissions: 2006-2016
 Richard Auxier, Urban Institute - Tax Policy Center
 [presentation]    


 discussant: Norton Francis, Urban Institute Tax Policy Center      

 * Organized by Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Dept. of Treasury      


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Concurrent Sessions


State Tax Reform - Concurrent Session  
 moderator: David Gunter, Maine Revenue Services      

 
NYC Recent Business Tax Reform
 Karen Schlain and David Ho, New York City Dept. of Finance
 [presentation]    

Comprehensive Tax Reform: North Carolina's Recent Experience
 Ed McLenaghan, North Carolina Office of State Budget & Management and Robert Bowles, Dept. of Revenue
 [presentation]    

Kentucky Blue Ribbon Tax Study
 Greg Harkenrider, Kentucky Office of Economic Analysis
 [presentation]    
     

 
Revenue Forecasting Models in a Changing Data Environment - FTA/NASBO Session
   moderator: Brian Sigritz, NASBO      

 
Forecasting Income Tax Withholding In Minnesota
 John Peloquin, Minnesota Management & Budget
 [presentation]    




 
SOLUTION SERIES
 
10:45-11:30
Chainbridge
Pitfalls in Revenue Estimation: A Case Study in Microsimulation Extrapolation

 Eric Cook and Jaime Copenhaver, Chainbridge      

 
11:45-12:30
REMI 2.0 - Your Bully Pulpit for Smart Modeling, Smart Analysis & Smart Policy

 Chris Brown and John Bennett, REMI      

 
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Data Base Development and Tools

 

 moderator: Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Dept. of Treasury      

 
Rapid Revenue Analysis with Modern Business Intelligence
 Roger Cohen, New Jersey Dept. of Treasury
 [presentation]    
   
Sales Tax Data Tracking and Forecasting in Texas
 Tom Currah and Tetyana Melnyk, Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
 [presentation]    
 
 
Tax Policy Analysis 
 moderator: Rebecca Sameroff, Vermont Dept. of Taxes      

 
Income and Inequality in Montana from 2001 Through 2014
 Aaron McNay, Montana Dept. of Revenue
 [presentation]    

Impact of Raising the Minimum Hourly Rate
 Yi Geng, Fahad Fahimullah, Daniel Muhammad and Jeffrey Wilkins, District of Columbia and Bradley Hardy, American U.
 [presentation]    
 
Impact of Raising the Minimum Hourly Rate - Illinois Analysis
 Hector Vielma, Illinois Dept. of Revenue
 [presentation]    
 
Nationwide Tax Rates and Tax Burdens Study
 Lori Metcalf, District of Columbia Office of Revenue Analysis
 [presentation]    

 
 

 
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Wednesday Morning General Session

 Presiding: Rod Hoheisel, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue and Chair FTA Research Section      

 
Migration - An Analysis of California's Proposition 30
 Allen Prohofsky, California Franchise Tax Board and Charles Varner, Stanford University
   

The Utah Fiscal Stress Test
 Phil Dean, Utah Office of Management & Budget
 [presentation]    


     
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